SystemCasualty, Injury & Litigation Claims

Litigation Propensity Prediction

Litigation propensity prediction that reads every open injury file each night and raises the ones heading for a lawsuit early

Files turning toward a lawsuit raised early, with the evidence behind each.

See one case, screen by screen ↓
demo1,284filesopen injury files read in one night, 02:00 to 02:41 — 2,318 new notes, letters and medical updates
demo+37pointson Denise Albright’s file overnight, 41 to 78, from three phrases in one call note
demo41daysmedian warning before a suit was served, on the 2025 closed-file test — 221 of 286 suits flagged 30+ days early
target100%of open injury files and every new note read each night, not a diary sample
In short

What is Litigation Propensity Prediction?

It scores each open claim for the chance that it will draw an attorney, a suit or a large verdict, so the file can be worked before that happens. Litigation Propensity Prediction reads every open injury file each night, scores it 0–100 and shows the phrase in the file behind every point.

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Updated

The problem

Why a file turns toward suit before anyone sees it

The signs are written down. “My lawyer said” in a call note, an MRI and a surgical consult in the medical updates, a voicemail nobody returned, a company truck, a claimant a jury will like, a plaintiff firm with verdicts in the venue. But they sit across notes, letters, bills and records in more than a thousand open injury files, and a supervisor with nine adjusters reviews diaries by sample.

So the turn is usually seen when the summons lands. By then the claimant cannot be contacted directly, the letter of representation is on file, and the cost of resolving the file has already jumped — with defense spend added on top, and a verdict risk that depends on the venue and the firm.

typical390%higher indemnity on represented casualty claims: $77,807 against $15,936
typical295%longer duration on represented casualty claims
typical22.6–30.8%of commercial auto booked losses added by legal system abuse
Where the days go before a turning file is acted on (days)estimated
By hand38 days
With the solution3 days
  • Until a diary review reads the note30 → 1 d
  • Pulling the treatment picture together3 → 0.5 d
  • Checking the venue and the plaintiff firm2 → 0.5 d
  • Working out the options and what each costs2 → 0.5 d
  • Approving the step and assigning it1 → 0.5 d

Estimated split for one open bodily injury file, on 30-day diaries by hand and with the nightly read.

How it works

How a file is read

Six agents read every open injury file each night and score its risk of suit; the claim supervisor decides.

What comes in
Files in4 sources · adjuster notes, letters, medical updates, venue and firm history
Agents at work
Note readerphrases in the notes
Then
Letter and representation watcher
Treatment tracker
Venue and firm profiler
Then
Risk scorer0–100 + overnight change
Then
Next-step writeroptions with costs
A person decides
Casualty claim supervisordecides the next step
What comes out
Heat list and overnight movers
Signals with the phrase behind each
Next step: specialist, offer or counsel
One case, step by step

One call note, from “my lawyer said” to a specialist on the phone

Claim BI-26-118430: the insured’s 26-ft box truck rear-ended Denise Albright’s Honda CR-V at a red light in Chicago. Liability is clear, there is no letter of representation on file — and in yesterday’s call note, she said a lawyer is advising her. Here is what happens next, screen by screen, in the working solution.

  1. 0102:00–02:41

    Every open injury file, read overnight

    The agents

    Six agents read every open injury file in the Central casualty unit: 1,284 files, 2,318 new notes, letters and medical updates, 212 signals found. The strip at the top says what moved — 11 files up, 4 down, 24 at 60 or above — and when the next read starts.

  2. 02Morning

    Denise Albright’s file leads the change list

    Alana Brooks · Casualty claim supervisor

    Alana starts on the files that moved overnight, not on a diary sample. Denise Albright is first: 41 → 78, up 37. Seven heat cells show where the points came from — lawyer, treatment, delay, claimant, liability, venue, firm — and the note reader replays the reading: each phrase lights in Tom Kessler’s call note and its points tick into the score.

    “my lawyer said not to sign anything until after the surgery consult” — Call note · Mon 12 Oct, 16:42

  3. 03One click

    Every cell opens the passage behind it

    Alana Brooks · Casualty claim supervisor

    She clicks the lawyer cell. Representation, +19: an attorney is advising Denise but no letter of representation is on file, so direct contact is still allowed under guideline CG-4.3. The phrase is quoted from the note, with the adjuster, the date and the time.

  4. 04The claim file

    The file, as the agents read it

    Alana Brooks · Casualty claim supervisor

    Specials to date $9,860 plus $2,190 wage loss, $1,380 of therapy unpaid since 9 September, BI reserve $28,500, an epidural injection booked for Wed 21 Oct. Each document carries margin notes for the signals it raised, and the risk line runs from 29 at first notice to 78 today.

    The MRI report is read with the call note — counted once, inside the +11 for treatment escalating.

  5. 05Read again

    What each agent found, step by step

    The agents

    The note reader found three phrases in one call note and one voicemail log. The treatment tracker read the MRI of 6 October: L4-L5 herniation, therapy → imaging → injection → surgery raised. The representation watcher found no letter and no records request; the venue and firm profiler named the Circuit Court of Cook County, no firm yet. The risk scorer moved the file 41 → 78 and, past 75, routed it to a specialist the same day.

    Next-step writer: “Specialist call today · $38,000–$55,000 now against $120,000–$190,000 if sued · waits for Alana Brooks”

  6. 06If a signal is wrong

    A dismissal needs a reason

    Alana Brooks · Casualty claim supervisor

    Any signal can be dismissed — read out of context, already handled in a later note, or a duplicate. The score drops by that signal’s points straight away, and the reason is saved to the file for the next weights review.

  7. 07Next step

    Three options, priced from 214 similar closed files

    Next-step writer

    A specialist calls today and resolves early: $38,000–$55,000, resolved without counsel in 61 of 97 files taken this way since 1 June. Keep the 30-day diary and wait for a demand: $120,000–$190,000 if represented and sued, plus $25,000–$40,000 defense. Or assign defense counsel now, which ends direct contact and signals a fight.

    “Why today. Denise says a lawyer is advising her, but no letter is on file, so Calder Ridge can still talk to her directly.”

  8. 0808:52 · approved

    Approved inside her authority

    Alana Brooks · Casualty claim supervisor

    Alana approves within her $50,000 authority and assigns Priya Natarajan, who is free 10:00–12:00. Priya calls Denise by noon, the two therapy invoices are sent for payment, and the orthopedic plan and MRI images are requested. No release is asked for before the plan is known.

    The agents do not call, offer or reserve: Priya calls, Alana approves the offer, Tom updates the reserve.

  9. 09Every week

    Venues and plaintiff firms, week by week

    Martin Oyelaran · Claims legal counsel

    At-risk files by venue over 12 weeks: Cook County has nearly doubled since July, from 4 files at 60 or above to 7. Brandt & Moreau Injury Lawyers, with 3 verdicts over $1M in the venue, is on 2 of them. Each firm’s record on closed files sits beside it, and the week exports as a report for the large-loss committee.

  10. 10Since go-live

    Does the score warn early enough?

    Wen Liu · Model risk

    Tested on 2025 closed files before go-live: 221 of 286 suits — 77% — scored 60 or above at least 30 days before service, with a median warning of 41 days, and 59% of files at 75 or above were sued. Since go-live on 1 June, 168 files crossed 75, 97 were taken by a specialist before a lawyer’s letter, and 61 resolved without counsel.

Who it’s for

Built for everyone who carries an injury file.

The same file, seen by the five people who touch it — what their week looked like, and what it looks like now.

AB
Alana BrooksCasualty claim supervisor, Central casualty unit
Claim supervisor
Before
Nine adjusters and 1,284 open injury files, reviewed by sampling diaries. Finds out a file turned when the summons lands on her desk.
Now
Starts every morning on the files that moved overnight, sees the phrase behind each point, and approves the next step within her $50,000 authority.
TK
Tom KesslerSenior casualty adjuster
Casualty adjuster
Before
142 open files on 30-day diaries. Writes the warning in the note — and nobody reads his notes but him.
Now
His call note is read the same night, quoted in the file with what it added, and the file is with a specialist the next morning.
PN
Priya NatarajanLitigation specialist, Central casualty
Litigation specialist
Before
Gets the file after the letter of representation, when contact has to go through counsel.
Now
Gets it before a lawyer’s letter, with the treatment path, the unpaid bills and the contact rules laid out — and can close it without a lawyer.
MO
Martin OyelaranClaims legal counsel
Claims counsel
Before
Assigns panel counsel and watches venues — but sees the firm only once its letter arrives, when Cook County with that firm is a trial, not a negotiation.
Now
Sees at-risk files by venue each week with each plaintiff firm’s record on closed files, and is the second approver on every change to the signal weights.
GH
Gregory HaleCasualty claims manager
Claims manager
Before
Approves offers above $50,000 and asks the same question every time: show me what we pay if we wait.
Now
Gets the options side by side — resolve now, wait for a demand, or counsel — with cost ranges from similar closed files, and the results since go-live.
Built on the engine

6 agents. Each with one job, and hard limits.

Six agents read every open injury file each night and score its risk of suit; the claim supervisor decides.

Note reader

Reads every new adjuster note, diary, email and call log each night and finds the phrases that signal a lawyer, frustration, delay or escalation — quoting the exact phrase, its document and time.

  • Never infers a fact that is not written
  • Never reads privileged counsel communications
Letter and representation watcher

Finds letters of representation, records requests and preservation letters from firms, lien notices and time-limited demands; on a letter of representation, marks the file represented within 10 minutes and names the firm.

  • Never contacts a claimant
  • Represented files: contact through counsel only
Treatment tracker

Reads medical bills and records and builds the path of treatment with dates — emergency, therapy, imaging, injections, surgical consult — flagging escalation and gaps.

  • Never judges medical necessity
Venue and firm profiler

Finds the venue a suit would be filed in and profiles the plaintiff firm — suits, trials and verdicts — from closed files and published verdict reports.

  • Cites every number
  • Never scores a firm it cannot cite
Risk scorer

Adds each signal’s points by family, capped at the family maximum, into a 0–100 litigation risk score with the change since the last read, and routes by threshold: 60 to the heat list, 75 to a specialist the same day.

  • Every signal’s points are shown
  • Never uses race, ethnicity, religion, national origin, sex, income or ZIP code
Next-step writer

Finds similar closed files and compares resolving now, waiting and counsel, with cost ranges; recommends one and names who may approve it.

  • Never sends, offers or changes a reserve
  • The supervisor decides
Casualty claim supervisor

Decides; the manager above $50,000. The agents propose; a named person decides.

Ask in plain words

Ask about a file, a venue or a signal

The supervisor, adjusters and specialists can ask in plain words. Every answer cites the passage behind it.

Why did Denise Albright’s file jump to 78?

Three things in Tom Kessler’s call note of 12 Oct. “Ortho is talking about injections, maybe surgery”, read with the MRI showing an L4-L5 herniation: +11. Her voicemail of 7 Oct was not returned: +7. And “my lawyer said” — a lawyer is advising her, with no letter on file: +19. At 78 the file goes to a specialist today.

Which Cook County files moved overnight?

Four moved up 10 points or more: Denise Albright 41 → 78, Hannah Liu 49 → 71, Tamika Shaw 66 → 76 and Marcus Tillman 74 → 84 — Tillman now has a letter from Brandt & Moreau. Two moved down: Jamal Whitfield 72 → 62, back to full duty, and Diane Pope 66 → 56 after she agreed to an evaluation meeting.

Can Priya still call Denise directly?

Yes. No letter of representation or attorney notice is on file, so direct contact is allowed. If Denise says she has hired a lawyer, Priya asks for the name and stops discussing the claim, and never discourages her from getting advice.

How early were last year’s suits flagged?

221 of the 286 suits served on 2025 injury files — 77% — scored 60 or above at least 30 days before service, with a median warning of 41 days. Of files at 75 or above, 59% were sued, so the list stays short enough to work.

Every screen

The working solution, as it ships.

13 screens from the working solution, on its sample data. Pick one to see it large.

The heat listLast night’s read, the files that moved overnight, seven heat cells per file, and the note reader with the phrases lit and the score ladder.
The passage behind a cellRepresentation, +19: the phrase quoted from the call note, and why direct contact is still allowed.
The claim fileReserve, specials, unpaid bills and next treatment; every document with margin notes; risk since first notice; the signals behind the score.
The overnight readWhat each of the six agents found on the file, step by step, ending with the drafted next step waiting for the supervisor.
Dismissing a signalA reason is required; the score drops by the signal’s points and the reason is saved to the file.
The next stepResolve early, wait for a demand, or assign counsel — with cost ranges from similar closed files, the likely outcome and who approves.
Approved and assignedApproved within the supervisor’s authority, assigned to the litigation specialist, with the contact rules laid out before anyone calls.
Venues and trendAt-risk files by venue over 12 weeks, and each plaintiff firm’s record on closed files and published verdicts.
SignalsSeven signal families with the phrases and facts that raise each, how often they were found and how often they led to a lawyer or suit.
Try a notePaste any sentence from a file and see which phrases count and how many points each adds.
Results on closed filesThe 2025 closed-file test: suits flagged early, what happened by score band, how early, and by line.
Results since go-liveFiles that crossed 75, files taken by a specialist before a lawyer’s letter, and how many resolved without counsel.
SettingsLines in scope, read time, thresholds, who decides and what is never in the score.
Governance

Built for claims work that holds up: cited, fair, decided by people.

Every signal quotes its passageEach point on a score names the phrase, the document — call note, letter, bill, medical record — and its date. Click any heat cell to read the passages behind it.
No protected characteristics, everRace, ethnicity, religion, national origin, sex, income and ZIP code are never read or used. The claimant facts that count are the ones a jury sees: occupation, injury, dependants — and they are listed.
People call, offer and reserveThe agents never contact a claimant, make an offer, change a reserve or assign counsel. The supervisor approves up to $50,000, the claims manager above it, and claims counsel assigns counsel.
Privileged communications are not readClaims counsel and defense counsel communications are excluded from the nightly read. It is a fixed setting.
Dismissals need a reasonA person can dismiss any signal, but only with a reason. The score updates at once and the dismissal is recorded on the file.
Weights change only after a testSignal weights change only after a test on closed files and with a second approver. Version 7 was approved by Martin Oyelaran, claims counsel, and Wen Liu, model risk, on 1 October.
Configuration

Your unit’s thresholds and authority, as settings

What is read, when a file is raised and who decides are settings. Changes to thresholds and authority need a second approver.

SettingDefaultChoose from
Lines in scopeCommercial auto BI · personal auto BI · general liability premises and productsYour lines
Read timeEvery night at 02:00Plus within 10 minutes of a letter of representation
Never readClaims and defense counsel communicationsFixed
Heat listFiles at 60 or aboveChange, with a second approver
Moved overnight10 points or more, up or downChange, with a second approver
Same-day specialist75 or above (CG-7.2)Change, with a second approver
Who decidesSupervisor up to $50,000Claims manager above; claims counsel assigns counsel
Never in the scoreRace, ethnicity, religion, national origin, sex, income, ZIP codeFixed
Connections

Works with the claim files you already keep

Your claim systemadjuster notes, diaries and call logs
Correspondenceletters of representation, records requests, preservation letters, demands
Medical bills and recordsER, therapy, imaging, injections, surgical consults
Closed file historyoutcomes, venues and firms behind every cost range
Published verdict reportsvenue and plaintiff firm records, cited
Claims guidelinescontact rules, routing and the authority table
What it changes

The difference, in numbers.

Every figure is labelled: a target the solution is built to, an estimate, a typical published result, or a proven one.

estimated
41days
median warning before a suit is served, on a test of closed injury files
6 weeks ahead
77% of suits flagged 30+ days early
target
100%
of open injury files and every new note read each night, not a diary sample
Diary reviewa sample
With agentsevery file, nightly
typical
390%
higher indemnity on represented casualty claims: $77,807 against $15,936
UnrepresentedRepresented

“demo” = seen in the working solution, on its sample claim files (the 41-day warning is from its test on closed files) · “target” = the design goal, measured in the live solution · “estimated” = our estimate · “typical” = published figures (CLARA Analytics, Litigation product page — represented casualty claims average $77,807 indemnity against $15,936, 390% higher, and run 295% longer; CAS / Triple-I, legal system abuse and liability losses, 2025 — 22.6%–30.8% of commercial auto booked losses). People, companies, claims and law firms named on this page are fictional — characters and sample data in the working solution; counties are real places used as venues only.

Questions

What casualty claims teams ask us.

What is litigation propensity prediction?

It scores each open claim for the chance that it will draw an attorney, a suit or a large verdict, so the file can be worked before that happens. Litigation Propensity Prediction reads every open injury file each night, scores it 0–100 and shows the phrase in the file behind every point.

How does it predict attorney involvement?

The agents read the adjuster’s own words and the file’s documents for signals in seven families: representation, treatment escalating, delay and frustration, claimant and injury, liability and insured, venue, and plaintiff firm. Each signal adds points up to its family maximum; “my lawyer said” in a call note, for example, adds 19.

Which lines of business does it cover?

In the working solution: commercial auto bodily injury, personal auto bodily injury, and general liability premises and products. The lines in scope are a setting.

Does the score use protected characteristics?

No. Race, ethnicity, religion, national origin, sex, income and ZIP code are never read or used, and that setting is fixed. The claimant facts that count are the ones a jury sees — occupation, injury and dependants — and they are listed on the file.

Does it contact claimants or make offers?

No. The agents never contact a claimant, make an offer, change a reserve or assign counsel. The next-step writer drafts options with cost ranges; the claim supervisor decides within their authority, the claims manager above it, and claims counsel assigns counsel.

How do we know the score is right?

The Results screen shows it. In the working solution, a test on 2025 closed files found 221 of 286 suits scored 60 or above at least 30 days before service, with a median warning of 41 days. Signal weights change only after a test on closed files and a second approver.

Can we set our own thresholds and authority?

Yes. The heat list threshold, what counts as moved overnight, the score that sends a file to a specialist the same day, and who approves at which amount are settings. Changes need a second approver.

How long does it take to go live?

The Agentic Solution Engine builds and deploys it from your requirements — your claims guidelines, authority table and a sample of closed injury files — and it goes live once every quality gate has passed. We will run it on your own closed files first.

See it on
your injury files.

We’ll run Litigation Propensity Prediction on a sample of your own closed injury files.