- Before
- “Two hundred events a morning, and a third of them are a sensor having a bad night. I want to spend my time on the twenty that are real.”
- Now
- Starts with 26 events already validated and explained, every clearance with its reason; confirms or rejects each with a reason code and decides which trends go to the board.
One FOQA event, from last night's arrival to the Safety Review Board
Corvane Airways flies 304 aircraft from its DEN hub. On Wed 14 Oct at 23:47 PDT, CV 1910 from Chicago, a 737-9, lands on SEA runway 16R at night. Here is what happens next in the working solution, screen by screen.
- 01Thursday, 07:00
Last night, already worked — 26 events need her
Elise Navarro · Senior FOQA AnalystElise opens Today: overnight the agents read 1,388 flights, found 214 events, cleared 37 that were data errors or duplicates, counted 151 small ones to trends and left 26 for a person — 9 Level 3 and 17 Level 2. The lead item is CV 1910 into SEA, and beside it the agents talk to her in plain words: the Event validator on what it cleared, the Trend finder on a new trend, the Validation checker on an event it disagrees about.
“CV 1910 into SEA last night: unstable at 500 ft with an 11-knot tailwind.”
- 0200:12 to 05:40
How the agents worked while she slept
Eight agents · overnight“How they worked overnight” shows every step in order. The Flight data reader decoded 1,388 flight files from 296 aircraft; the event library found 214 events; the Event validator cleared or corrected 37; the Validation checker re-checked all 9 Level 3 events and a 5% sample, and disagreed on LK 3318; the Event explainer wrote 26 explanations; the Report linker proposed 5 links; and at 05:40 the Trend finder raised T-26-019.
“From the first file at 00:12 to the trend at 05:40. Every step is on the audit trail.”
- 03The replay
CV 1910, trace by trace against the approach profile
Elise Navarro · Senior FOQA AnalystThe event replay puts height, airspeed, sink rate and tailwind on one axis from 5 nm to touchdown, with the 1,000 ft and 500 ft gates and the window where the approach was not stable. At the 500 ft gate: 171 kt (+19 over the target of 152), 1,240 ft/min, 1.6 dots high, an 11-knot tailwind, gear down and flaps 30. She can press Play or jump to any gate. The crew shows only as “Crew sealed · gatekeeper only”.
Level 3 events always need a person. Clock: decide by Fri 16 Oct 00:40, 24 hours after the data arrived.
- 04Every clause cited
What happened, in plain words — and how it was validated
Event explainer · Event validatorThe Event explainer writes the cause chain, each clause cited to its source: cleared for the visual at 9 nm and 5,000 ft, about 2,100 ft above a 3° path; a tailwind nearly twice the 6 kt surface wind on the ATIS; landing flaps only at 1,180 ft; stable at 310 ft; touchdown 2,640 ft past the threshold. Below it, the Event validator's checks: both air data computers agree within 1 kt, both radio altimeters and GPS height within 5 ft, 16R matched to the track and 16C ruled out, no lost frames, a revenue flight. Valid at 97%.
“The flight data shows what the airplane did; it never says who flew it or why they decided.”
- 05She asks
“Why was this not a go-around?”
Elise Navarro and the Event explainerElise asks the agents in the conversation beside the replay. The Event explainer answers within the limits of the data: the approach was not stable at 500 ft, the company manual calls for a go-around, and across the industry about 97% of unstable approaches are continued. For the crew's reasons it offers to draft a request for the gatekeeper, with the crew still sealed.
“The flight data cannot say what the crew decided or why.”
- 06The clearances
37 events cleared, each with its reason and its evidence
Event validator · Validation checkerData quality shows why each of the 37 was cleared: 12 radio altimeter spikes, 9 lost data frames, 6 air data or attitude spikes, 2 ground runs, 1 maintenance check flight, 4 runway corrections and 3 duplicates. Each clearance carries its evidence — on CV 1207, a pitch rate of 14°/s on rotation came from one attitude source for one sample while the other read 3.1°, so the validator cleared it as a data spike at 95% confidence. Six radio altimeter jumps are one 737-8, aircraft A-0143, so it proposes sending the fault to maintenance: the aircraft, never the crew. Elise can restore any clearance to review or accept it with the others.
“One sample on one source, nothing on the other or in vertical g: a data spike, cleared with 95% confidence.”
- 0705:40, the trend
The 11th high-energy night arrival on 16R in 30 days
Trend finder · Report linkerTrend T-26-019 overlays the 11 approaches: 11 of 212 night arrivals on 16R, 5.2% against 1.1% across the network, 4.7 times. All 11 had a late visual clearance on the arrival from the north and were not stable until below 500 ft; 9 of 11 had a tailwind of 8 kt or more. Two ASAP reports describe the same thing — “ATC kept us high on the arrival from the north” — matched on airport, runway, hour and fleet, never on who wrote them.
“The ASAP program keeps the reports and the reporters' names.”
- 08Signed
She confirms the event with a reason code and her signature
Elise Navarro · Senior FOQA AnalystConfirming adds CV 1910 to the program's record and to its trend. Elise chooses V1, valid as detected — the other choices are V2, level changed, and V3, merged — adds a note if she wants, and signs electronically. The crew stays sealed; no agent can mark a Level 3 valid or invalid.
“I confirm this event as Elise Navarro, FOQA Analyst — electronic signature.”
- 09To the board
The trend goes to the Safety Review Board, with three mitigations
Elise Navarro · Senior FOQA AnalystElise sends T-26-019 to the Safety Review Board meeting on Tue 20 Oct at 09:00 with reason S1, a trend beyond its baseline with reports. The decision package carries the trend, its baseline, the 11 approaches de-identified, the 2 linked reports and three proposed mitigations: a pilot briefing for 737 and A321neo pilots, a request through the ATC liaison to Seattle approach about late visual clearances, and a company approach brief item for tailwinds above 10 kt. The Identity guard checked it: no flight numbers or dates.
“The board decides; owners act; the agents measure for 90 days.”
- 10This week
A pilot briefing, with nothing that points to a crew
Capt. Tom Brandt · 737 Fleet Technical PilotThe Briefing writer drafted B-26-07, “Night arrivals to SEA runway 16R with a tailwind”, for 737 and A321neo pilots, 2,240 and 610 of them. Before it reached Capt. Brandt, the Identity guard removed three details and said why: “CV 1910 on 14 Oct” became “one of our night arrivals”, because a flight number and a date together identify a crew. He can edit it or ask the writer to change it, then approves and publishes it with his signature.
“A go-around from an unstable approach is the expected outcome here, never a mark against you.”